So, I have a somewhat-new method of ranking players this year. The good news is that the statistic Fantasy Value (FV) now has meaning. Rather than just providing a way of ranking players, it actually tells you something about the contribution you can expect from that player. Here's the method, in brief. (If you have questions, comments, or gripes, feel free to express them in the comments.)
The league is assumed to be a 12-team standard 5x5 roto league with positions: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF, OF, OF, Util.
Now, take Albert Pujols as an example. I basically ask the question: how many points would an offense consisting of Pujols, an average catcher, average second baseman, average third baseman, etc. score in this league? Or, more precisely, how many more points than a completely average team would this team score?
FV respresents those points. So, if a completely average offense would score 32.5 points (6.5 points times 5 categories), how many points above 32.5 does the Albert Pujols-plus-a-bunch-of-average-guys team score?
The answer it turns out is 7.1. So, you could theoretically draft Albert Pujols and then an average player at every other offensive position and expect your offense to provide 39.6 points.
As a side note, I like to aim for about 95 points in this kind of format. If you expect your offense and pitching to each contribute half of those points, that makes 47.5 total. In the Pujols example, you then only need to find 7.9 more points among the remainder of your picks. This is easier said than done, as many players provide negative FV.
If this all sounds too confusing, don't worry about it. Just know that I've given this a lot of thought and it makes sense.
Friday, January 23, 2009
Fantasy Value (FV) Explained
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