I called C.C. Sabathia a buy-low candidate on April 18, and since then he has posted a 2.16 ERA and 109 strikeouts in 104 1/3 innings. (I'm not bragging. I also called Victor Martinez a buy-low candidate.) Now that he's apparently headed to the Brewers, I like him even more.
First, the Brewers score slightly more runs per game than the Indians (4.6 vs. 4.4). Plus, when you take into account that the Indians are clearly in sell-mode while the Brewers are in contend-mode, it's likely that the disparity will grow in the coming months.
Next, last year Jacobs Field had a park factor of 106 (over 100 favors hitters) while Miller Park posted a score of 102. Yes, it's a small difference, but those small differences add up.
Finally, I love the idea of Sabathia facing the opposing pitcher a couple times a game. Again, not a huge difference, but it will help his strikeout total a little.
It's probably too late to buy low on Sabathia at this point with other owners probably excited about this move also, but if you're currently an owner, hang onto him.
On a side note, I love what this trade means for Matt LaPorta. I would expect to see him in the Indians lineup next year at some point and he's a masher.
Monday, July 7, 2008
Sabathia to the Brewers: What it Means to You
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