Wednesday, June 4, 2008

Homer Bailey to start for Reds tomorrow

Homer Bailey will start in place of the injured Josh Fogg tomorrow for the Reds.

Bailey was once a highly-regarded prospect, who has lost some of his luster as he's moved up the minor league ranks. After posting a 3.07 ERA in 67 1/3 AAA innings last year, Bailey was given a nine-start audition for the Reds late in the season. The results were not overly impressive: 5.76 ERA, 28 K, 28 BB in 45 1/3 innings.

This year, Bailey has been unspectacular in 12 starts at AAA, posting a 4.15 ERA with 55 K and 31 BB in 69 1/3 innings.

Should you own him? That all depends on your league format and your team. In an NL-only league, I'd say he's probably worth starting since he is a pretty talented kid with good stuff. In mixed-league formats, I would only start him if you're desperate. Let's say you had been starting Josh Fogg. That would be very sad, but Bailey will probably be an improvement. He doesn't have nearly the upside of fellow young guns like Volquez, Cueto, Kershaw, and Scherzer so don't get too excited.

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